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Hurricane Season Forecast: El Niño Expected to Influence Storm Activity

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As hurricane season approaches, meteorologists from Colorado State University predict a slightly below-average Atlantic hurricane season, with 13 named storms expected, including six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. This forecast is largely influenced by the developing El Niño, which is anticipated to strengthen by mid-summer, coinciding with the peak hurricane activity period. Although El Niño typically leads to increased wind shear that can suppress storm formation, warmer ocean temperatures could counteract this effect, potentially leading to more intense storms. Residents should stay informed as conditions may change leading up to the season, which runs from June to November.

Key Details: • Hurricane season runs from June to November. • Forecast includes 13 named storms, with 6 hurricanes expected. • El Niño expected to strengthen by mid-summer, impacting storm activity. • Ocean temperatures are currently mixed, influencing storm development. • Stay updated on weather forecasts as conditions may change.

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People & Organizations

NOAAColorado State UniversityPhil Klotzbach

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