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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast: Below Average Activity Expected

KVIA••CNN Newsource
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As the Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its forecast predicting a below-average season for 2026. The forecast indicates a 55% chance of fewer storms than usual, largely influenced by the anticipated return of El Niño, which can disrupt storm development. NOAA expects between eight and 14 named storms, with three to six potentially becoming hurricanes. The last time a below-average season was forecasted was in 2015 during a similar El Niño event. Residents should remain vigilant as the season progresses, especially given the unpredictable nature of climate patterns.

Key Details: • Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, 2026. • Expect 8 to 14 named storms, with 3 to 6 becoming hurricanes. • El Niño expected to influence storm activity; currently in a neutral phase. • First tropical storm typically forms around June 20; first hurricane around August 11.

weather forecast el-nino hurricane atlantic

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National Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationCentro Nacional de Huracanes

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